short1–3 months
EVIDENCE LEANS BULLISH
Composite+0.43
5 bullish · 1 neutral · 0 bearish
Uncertainty ±0.22 · 6 active
MARKET DOCKET · DAILY CLOSE
Three horizons. Same witnesses. Different relevance. No point predictions.
5 bullish · 1 neutral · 0 bearish
Uncertainty ±0.22 · 6 active
5 bullish · 4 neutral · 0 bearish
Uncertainty ±0.25 · 9 active
1 bullish · 2 neutral · 0 bearish
Uncertainty ±0.18 · 3 active
The bar this evidence must beat: stocks were higher 12 months later in roughly 64% of all months since 1871. A bullish verdict is not a promise.
SPLIT JURY. 5 witnesses support growth, 0 argue for caution, and 4 are not taking a side. The dispersion is 0.25—that disagreement matters.
SEVEN-DAY DOCKET
0 witnesses changed sides; 0 moved toward growth, 0 moved toward caution, and 13 held steady.
0.5%0.5%
unchanged0%0%
unchanged204,000204,000
unchanged2.7%2.7%
unchanged14.915.4
unchangedPoint-in-time testimony through market breaks and bull runs.
Every reading has a source. Every lean has a rule. Credibility now comes from reproducible historical backtests—with sample size, base rate, and worst miss on the record.
Each witness now shows its worst historical call. Daily composite snapshots are next, so Verdict itself can be judged by the same standard as the witnesses.
See what gets measuredEvery new upload now gets a companion case file with the video and the live market evidence beside it.