"A recession is coming — sell everything." It's every headline this week. So we put the claim on trial. The record since World War Two: 11 recessions — and the stock market bottomed, on average, BEFORE the recession even ended, while the news was still terrible. The people who sold on the scary headline sold at the very bottom. 2008 and 2020 hurt — but one year after each bottom, the market was up double digits. The market isn't the economy. It looks six to nine months ahead. By the time a recession is obvious, the drop has usually already happened. Selling into the fear is selling into the past. VERDICT: NOT PROVEN. Timing the fear has a losing record. Data: NBER (recession dates), Robert Shiller / Yale (S&P 500). Educational only — not financial advice. Do your own research. #recession #investing #stockmarket #personalfinance #CashOnTrial