short1–3 months
EVIDENCE LEANS BULLISH
Composite+0.42
4 bullish · 1 neutral · 0 bearish
Uncertainty ±0.23 · 5 active
CASH ON TRIAL · VIDEO CASE FILE
2008–2015: the Fed's balance sheet went from under $1T to $4.5T — $3.5 trillion created. If printing money automatically caused inflation, this should have been catastrophic. Inflation averaged ~1.5%. Full trial: https://youtu.be/gDmrR9v0IvU Educational only — not financial advice. #inflation #federalreserve #quantitativeeasing
LIVE COMPANION · CHECKED AUG 27, 2:58 AM PDT
The video is the argument. This live panel is today’s independent rules-based evidence, so it may differ from the conditions discussed when the episode was published.
4 bullish · 1 neutral · 0 bearish
Uncertainty ±0.23 · 5 active
4 bullish · 4 neutral · 0 bearish
Uncertainty ±0.25 · 8 active
1 bullish · 2 neutral · 0 bearish
Uncertainty ±0.18 · 3 active
The bar this evidence must beat: stocks were higher 12 months later in roughly 64% of all months since 1871. A bullish verdict is not a promise.